Measures and Data

Key Concept

Important

Vaccine effectiveness measures the reduction in disease risk among vaccinated individuals compared to unvaccinated individuals in real-world conditions.

Step-by-Step Calculation

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  1. Calculate risk in the vaccinated group: 5 / 500 = 0.01

  2. Calculate risk in the unvaccinated group: 25 / 500 = 0.05

  3. Relative Risk = 0.01 / 0.05 = 0.2

  4. VE = (1 − 0.2) × 100 = 80%

Pause and Reflect

TipSelf-check

Why might vaccine effectiveness differ between populations?

Show suggested answer

Differences in exposure, population structure, healthcare access, and underlying health conditions can influence estimates.

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R Code Demos R Code and Output

group <- c("Vaccinated", "Unvaccinated")
cases <- c(5, 25)
population <- c(500, 500)
risk <- cases / population
barplot(
risk,
names.arg = group,
col = c("steelblue", "tomato"),
main = "Risk of Infection by Vaccination Status"
)

Bar chart showing risk of infection for vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.

Risk of Infection by Vaccination Status

R Code Only

group <- c("Vaccinated", "Unvaccinated")
cases <- c(5, 25)
population <- c(500, 500)
risk <- cases / population
barplot(
risk,
names.arg = group,
col = c("steelblue", "tomato"),
main = "Risk of Infection by Vaccination Status"
)

R Output Only

Bar chart comparing infection risk between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.

Risk of infection by vaccination status

Interactive R Code

R Code Table example

Interpreting the Results

An 80% vaccine effectiveness means vaccinated individuals have substantially lower risk compared to unvaccinated individuals.

The calculation assumes both groups are comparable and equally exposed.

Confounding factors such as age, immunity, or healthcare access may influence results.

Epidemic Curve

Epidemic curve showing number of measles cases over time by vaccination status

Epidemic curve comparing vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.

Outbreak Report

View full outbreak investigation report

Download Dataset

Download full dataset

Quiz

Based on the outbreak data, what does a vaccine effectiveness of 80% mean in practice?

Show answer

Answer: Vaccinated individuals have an 80% lower risk of infection than unvaccinated individuals

Explanation:

Vaccine effectiveness compares the risk of disease in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups under real-world conditions. An 80% VE means the vaccinated group experienced substantially lower risk, not that infection risk was eliminated entirely.

Key Takeaway

Tip

Vaccination significantly reduces the likelihood of infection and severe disease, even if it does not eliminate risk entirely.

Binomial Theorem equation

\[(x + a)^{n} = \sum_{k = 0}^{n}{\binom{n}{k}x^{k}a^{n - k}}\]

Latex Equations Approach

Display equation example

\[ P(X=x)=\binom{n}{x}p^x(1-p)^{n-x} \]